SMAP Simulator – the third SMAP product – automates the creation of estimates for high-voltage customers, applying AI techniques to improve prediction accuracy and reduce the completion time of a process that usually takes 1-2 months to a matter of days. Having been tested across numerous clients in Japan, SMAP Simulator is ready to be offered to clients internationally.
There are three problems facing retail electricity companies
Many new entrants to the electricity retail market are confronted with the following issues that the development of SMAP Simulator addresses:
- Time-consuming estimate calculations: Many suppliers use simple Excel spreadsheets for their estimate calculations. As unit prices and tariffs have to be manually set , updated, and checked each time, this makes the process very time intensive.
- Smart-meter/half-hourly usage data is not fully utilised when estimating: Actual customer data is not used when forecasting through a traditional network (NHH) load curve, so quote estimations for new customers are less accurate. Smart-meters are gradually changing this situation, but many suppliers still struggle with having the data accessible or complete.
- Inaccurate procurement costs leading to errors in profitability prediction: Circumstances such as spot-price fluctuations in response to changes in procurement costs can complicate profitability analysis and quotation.
Value provided by SMAP Simulator
1. Up to 80% reduction in work related to high-voltage/I&C customer estimation
SMAP Simulator automates the manual time-consuming work associated with developing energy supply quotations for large consumers in the industrial, commercial, and SME sectors, speeding up the quotation process from what was once a matter of weeks to a time frame of hours. Multiple steps in the quotation process are addressed – all stakeholders involved at headquarters, business offices, agencies, etc., can be given necessary access and to create quotations and grant approval.
Figure: SMAP Simulator Simulation Screen
2. Ability to test pricing and competitively set unit price with a high precision load curve
SMAP Simulator’s algorithms employ cluster analysis – an AI technique for determining distinct data patterns and grouping subjects accordingly – and were trained on load curves from over 10,000 high-voltage customers across different industries, geographic areas, days of the week, and months obtained in parallel with ongoing long-term research at the University of Cambridge. SMAP Simulator utilises this in simulation to help retail clients use the actual energy usage of a customer from the customers smart-meter data – or a similar customer from the SMAP Simulator database should the target customer not have a smart-meter installed – to set a competitive tariff structure / unit price for each customer and have greater certainty of profitability on the offer. Combined with the decreased quotation time, the net effect is an increase in the closing rate.
3. Enabling unit price setting under multiple procurement scenarios
SMAP Simulator allows the client to set multiple power procurement pricing scenarios, making it possible to estimate multiple procurement costs from actual market trends and any forecasts the client wishes to test. As a result, it is possible to predict the profitability of each customer taking into account various factors such as procurement strategies of retail electricity companies and future trends in market prices.
Figure: Procurement price analysis on customer load curves
Commentary from SMAP Energy CEO Yohei Kiguchi
“SMAP Energy has provided an advanced approach to smart meter data utilization methods. Following the first SMAP Profitability, the second SMAP TOU, we are eager to expand the third SMAP Simulator offering. Not only in Japan, but also in overseas, high-voltage contract estimation is often manual work performed in Excel, etc. Big data utilisation and automation are not fully employed yet. I feel that there is room here for innovation by applying the AI energy analytics technology on our clients’ smart-meter data. SMAP Simulator will be first introduced to the Japanese market, but we plan to expand it in the European market as well. SMAP Energy will continue to proactively work on smart-meter data analysis with an aim to lead the world.”
For inquiries concerning SMAP products
- Please contact us at: email@example.com